It’s pretty much universally accepted that in order to bring down HUGE public sector borrowing (roughly 60% of GDP according to the OECD) the government needs to increase its bank balances, either by spending cuts or by raising taxes, or a combination thereof. I don’t pretend to understand macroeconomics and I’ll leave to to others to explain the risks of a huge national debt.
Yesterday I visited the Freshers’ Fair at the University of Huddersfield (to “help out”), and got into an argument with some malcontenet who accused the Conservatives of raising taxes (apparently ignoring the fact that we weren’t in power yet). Of course, tax rises may be necessary, but only if cuts in public spending have been exhausted – pared to the bone, so to speak. The word “cuts” may conjure up imagery of Mrs Thatcher snatching milk from schoolkids and tipping people out of hospital beds, but it might be better to visualise cuts as a surgical operation to remove a tumour. A tumour, incidentally, becomes malign when it starts invading other tissues and diverting essential blood supply in order to fuel its own growth – a fairly nice anaology of the civil service, I feel.
The TaxPayers’ Alliance (report) identified over £50 billion of savings that would be fairly painless to implement (and in anycase, chemotherapy is particularly harsh but usually better in the long-term). My favourites include: a one year pay freeze on the public sector (exl. servicemen) – saving: £6.2bn; abolishing education maintenance allowance – saving £530 million; slimming down the civil service by 10% - saving £1.2bn; and abolisihing Child Benefits and CTFs - saving £8 447 000 000. (See the tables below)
Admittedly, some of these cuts may seem harsh, and having handouts taken out of people’s hands would be very unpopular for any government. However, if Cameron wins the election and makes these tough decisions within his first year of office, the taxpayer (hopefully) would be weaned off dependency on the welfare state and come to appreciate his own responsibilities by the 2014/15 election. I theorised to myself on the bus yesterday that every £1 spent in the public sector stifles £x in the private sector – so making serious cuts in inefficient/unnecessary areas of spending should seriously stimulate commerce and industry into getting the economy moving again. Crucially, it is businesses that will bring us out of a recession, NOT the public sector.
Secondly, a note on tax rises. It might be tempting to, say, keep universal bus passes for the elderly in exchange for, maybe, another penny on corporation tax or a static NI threshold. Higher taxes stifle the economy, lower spending stimulates growth. The TPA report, for example, includes this factlet – ”A study of EU15 and OECD countries from 1970 to 2004 by the European Central Bank found that a 1 percentage point increase in the tax/GDP ratio reduces output by 0.12 percentage points for the OECD countries and 0.13 percentage points for the EU countries.”
Lastly, a point of principle: the Government got itself into a mess by spending money it didn’t have. It is only right that the public sector should have the bear the burden of its mistakes, instead of punishing hard-working, over-regulated families and small businesses.
Note that none of these cuts involve reducing the numbers of staff in schools, hospitals, etc.

Peter Lilley and Edward Leigh did a great job of standing up for Mrs Thatcher. Our own James Winfield Arthur Edward Sharpe III chaired the debate, resplendent in his white tie outfit.
ifficulties, writing notes to them at times of trouble and showing great courtesy. She would always ask what could the UK do to help whenever she heard of a tragedy anywhere in the world. She was the best boss I ever worked for.

